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ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa
CURRENT PROBLEMS IN REMOTE SENSING OF THE EARTH FROM SPACE

  

Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2025, V. 22, No. 6, pp. 438-447

Estimation of burnt boreal forests mortality in the 21st century based on fire intensity data

D.V. Lozin 1 , E.A. Loupian 1 , S.A. Bartalev 1 , I.V. Balashov 1 
1 Space Research Institute RAS, Moscow, Russia
Accepted: 25.12.2025
DOI: 10.21046/2070-7401-2025-22-6-438-447
Boreal forests are typically defined as forests located north of 50 latitude. The paper presents the results of an assessment of boreal forest fire damage in the first quarter of the 21st century (2002–2025). The estimates were obtained by analyzing fire intensity as measured by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instruments that operated on the Terra and Aqua satellites during this period. A method developed at Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences was used in this study. The method had previously been used to assess northern forests (forests located north of 60 latitude) mortality from wildfires. The paper shows that, according to MODIS observations, 345 million hectares of forested areas were burned in the boreal zone between 2002 and 2025. Forest mortality was observed on 45 million hectares of this area. Forest mortality is defined as forest areas with damage corresponding to average condition category 5. Analysis of the temporal dynamics of forest area and damage from fires also revealed significant positive trends in forest damage rate and forest fire mortality index (persentage of area damaged by wildfires to the total area affected by wildfires).
Keywords: remote sensing, wildfires, boreal forests, wildfires monitoring, FRP, forest damage rate, forest fire seasonal mortality index
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