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ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa
CURRENT PROBLEMS IN REMOTE SENSING OF THE EARTH FROM SPACE

  

Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2025, V. 22, No. 5, pp. 234-249

Features of spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation in Siberia under Arctic amplification of climate warming

E.V. Varlamova 1 , V.S. Solovyev 1 
1 Yu.G. Shafer Institute of Cosmophysical Research and Aeronomy SB RAS, Yakutsk, Russia
Accepted: 01.09.2025
DOI: 10.21046/2070-7401-2025-22-5-234-249
The fast Arctic warming (Arctic amplification) has a significant impact on northern ecosystems, including vegetation, which is a key participant in the carbon cycle regulating atmospheric CO2 concentration. A research of vegetation spatiotemporal changes in Siberia under Arctic amplification using NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) from GIMMS-3G+ (Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies-3rd Generation V1.2) data set was carried out for 1982–2022. It is shown that under conditions of annual air temperature increase by 2.1±0.8 °C, there is a positive (3±1 %) trend in the time-integrated NDVI (Time Integrated NDVI — TIN) in Siberia. A region with the highest values of statistically significant increase of TIN by 10±2 % is found in the north where the maximum increase of TIN reaches ~22 % in local areas. In 2004–2012, there was a lengthy steady increase of TIN (7±1 %) and a corresponding shift to an early start of the growing season (16±4 days), while during 2012–2017 there was a rapid decline of TIN by 7±1 % with a shift to a late start of the growing season (24±3 days). The observed changes in vegetation were mainly due to the temperature effects. The steady increase of TIN by 7±1 % in 2004–2012 was due to the lengthening of the warm season by 50±11 days, the increase of surface air temperature by 2.2±0.8 °C and the lengthening of the number of clear days by 30±3 days. The rapid decline of TIN in 2012–2017 occurred against the background of the warm season shortening by 16±13 days, the decrease in air temperature by 3.0±0.2 °C and the reduction in number of clear days by 24±3 days.
Keywords: vegetation cover, start date of the growing season, Arctic amplification, Siberia, NDVI, GIMMS
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