ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa
CURRENT PROBLEMS IN REMOTE SENSING OF THE EARTH FROM SPACE

  

Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2011, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 263-270

The model of hydrodynamic-statistical forecast of the strong squalls and tornadoes over the territory of Siberia with the earliness 12-48 h

E.V. Perekhodtseva 
Hydrometcenter of Russia, B. Predtechenskii line, 9-11, Moscow, 123242
The results of the adaptation to the territory of Siberia of the forecast methods of the squalls and tornadoes, developed for the territory of European part of Russia and based on the hydrodynamic-statistical model, are submitted at this paper. The examples of these dangerous phenomena forecast with the earliness 12-48h over the territory of Siberia are given at this paper too. The conclusion about the stability of the developed model of hydrodynamic-statistical forecast is maid on the base of the analysis of the daily calculating forecast of the squalls, tornadoes and the wind velocity V>24m/s.м/с.
Keywords: the hydrodynamic-statistical model, the alternative forecast, the territory of Siberia, dangerous phenomenon, the squalls and tornadoes, the forecast earliness 12-48 h, the model stability
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