Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2010, Vol. 7, No. 3, pp. 33-40
The prediction of tornadoes and severe squalls over the Central
region of Russia on the summer of the year of 2009 on the basis
of the statistical models
Hydrometeorological Research Center, 121243 Moscow, B. Predtechenskii line, 9-11
The results of the researches of the appearance conditions of the severe squalls and tornadoes over the territory of
Central Russia during the summer period of the year of 2009 and of the forecast of these phenomena with the earliness
of 36 and 48 hours on the basis of the statistical model of the forecast with the using of the prognostic fields of
the regional model of Hydrometeorological Center of Russia are submitted. The forecasts of these phenomena are
calculated two times per day in the operative system of Hydrometcenter and are transmitted
to Region Departments of Hydrometeorology. The verification of these forecasts to next day of the tornadoes and
severe squalls will perform by independent experts on the years of 2011-2012.
Keywords: the prediction, the hydrodynamic model, the statistical model, the recognition of images, the squall, the tornado, the operative synoptic practice
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