ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa


Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2009, Issue 6, Vol. 2, pp. 250-258

The integral and differential stochastic regimes of tropical cyclogenesis generation in the context of climatic variations

Е.А. Шарков 
Институт космических исследований РАН, 117997 Москва, ул. Профсоюзная, 84/32
The time series and evolution of tropical cyclones observed in climatic scales are important and
unresolved problem. In the paper, the approach included forming the temporal flow of the events have
been proposed. The tropical disturbance is presented as the impulse with a random period and a random
instant of time (genesis of tropical cyclone). The given parameters of stochastic flow of events -
differential and integral intensity and the accumulation function of events were presented. Based on the
analysis of remote sensing tropical cyclones data acquired during twenty five years (1983-2007) in the
basins of the world Ocean (to the hemispheres) it was found the stable integral regime of generation and
evolution of the multiple cyclogenesis both in active basins of the World ocean, as in active basins of
North and Southern hemispheres with universal constant of generation. It was detected the explicit
relationship to ENSO periods only for the regional cyclogenesis (North Atlantic) with accumulation
regime during a year. The relationship to ENSO are absent in the global cyclogenesis regime under the
integral regime during 25 years.
Keywords: tropical cyclogenesis, Poisson process, multiple cyclogenesis, accumulation function, universal constant of generation
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