Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2009, Issue 6, Vol. 2, pp. 155-162
The stability analysis of the hydrodynamic-statistical model of the
severe squalls and tornadoes forecast over the territory of Russia
Гидрометеорологический научно-исследовательский центр России, 123242 Москва, Б. Предтеченский пер., 9-11
The results of the hydrodynamic-statistical model development of the squalls and tornadoes
automated forecast over the territory of European part of Russia and Siberia are submitted at this paper.
The mathematical model of the alternative statistical forecast of these dangerous phenomena is described
too. The successful results of the independent experiences of the squalls and tornadoes automated
forecast to 12-36 hours ahead are submitted here. The stability of statistical model to systematic mistakes
of different forecast hydrodynamic models is shown.
Keywords: a squall, a tornado, the objective forecast, the images recognition, statistical model, hydrodynamic model, the automated forecast, the European part of Russia, the territory of Siberia
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