Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2022, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 9-20
Human and climate
G.A. Avanesov
1 , M.V. Mikhailov
2 1 Space Research Institute RAS, Moscow, Russia
2 S.P. Korolev Rocket and Space Сorporation “Energia”, Korolev, Russia
Accepted: 09.06.2022
DOI: 10.21046/2070-7401-2022-19-3-9-20
Paleontological studies of the distant past and historical chronicles of the last millennia indicate that warming and cooling of the climate on our planet, replacing each other, went in a continuous series. An important role in this process has been and is played by cosmic factors: variations in solar activity and parameters of the Earth’s orbital motion in the gravitational field of the Sun and the planets of the Solar System. It is suggested that the currently observed climate change is associated with a decrease in the eccentricity of the Earth’s orbit and the inclination of the axis of its rotation relative to the plane of the ecliptic, which has been going on for almost 30 thousand years. Both processes lead to changes in the boundaries of climatic zones. In the foreseeable future, these processes will go in the same direction. Therefore, the current trend towards climate change will continue. Despite the importance of addressing the problem of reducing greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible, the article expresses doubts about the possibility of fending off climate warming in this way. It is proposed to focus on the development of mathematical climate models taking into account space factors and on finding the best ways to adapt industry, transport systems and the environment to the conditions of expected climate change.
Keywords: Earth, Sun, orbit, precession, eccentricity, incoming radiation, climate, Milankovitch cycles, global warming, ice age
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