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ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa
CURRENT PROBLEMS IN REMOTE SENSING OF THE EARTH FROM SPACE

  

Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2016, Vol. 13, No. 4, pp. 99-112

The possibility of winter wheat yield estimation based on vegetation index of photosynthetic potential derived from remote sensing data

F.V. Eroshenko 1 , S.A. Bartalev 2 , I.G. Storchak 1 , D.E. Plotnikov 2 
1 Stavropol Research Institute of Agriculture, Mikhajlovsk, Stavropolsky Krai, Russia
2 Space Research Institute RAS, Moscow, Russia
Accepted: 24.08.2016
DOI: 10.21046/2070-7401-2016-13-23-99-112
It is known that winter wheat yield correlates with various characteristics derived from NDVI intra-seasonal time-series, such as, e.g. average, maximum and integrated over the growing period values. Such relationships are established at different levels of geographical aggregations (municipal and federal regions, soil-climatic zones and etc.). However, for individual agricultural fields, this correlation could be not stable or low. This stimulates further researches aimed at design of Earth observation data derived metrics characterizing the crop yield formation process. In our research such metric was designed that involved knowledge on the crop production process mechanisms and assimilation of satellite remote sensing data in vegetation photosynthetic productivity indicators. In the paper we propose a new vegetation index of photosynthetic potential retrieved from remote sensing data and allowing to characterize the production processes of crops and to predict their yield. The results of the examination of the proposed indicator estimated on MODIS satellite data showed a fairly close correlation with the yield of winter wheat (the average determination coefficient is 0,80), which suggests a high level potential for assessing of the physiological status of crops and forecasting their productivity.
Keywords: remote sensing data, vegetation index of photosynthetic potential, winter wheat, yield
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