ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa


Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2014, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 137-150

Forecasting of locust mass breeding by using satellite data

A.A. Tronin  , V.I. Gornyy  , A.V. Kiselev  , S.G. Kritsuk  , I.Sh. Latypov 
Saint Petersburg Scientific-Research Centre for Ecological Safety RAS, Saint Petersburg, Russia
The recent locust outbreaks in Russia raised considerable interest in applying remote sensing methods to locust control and forecast. The life cycle of the locust depends on such environmental conditions as temperature, soil moisture, air humidity, plant biomass, and soil type. Few remote sensing methods are able to retrieve these parameters; in our investigations, we used NOAA (AVHRR) and EOS (MODIS) satellite data. A complex index of locust hazard based on other indexes, such as NDVI, aridity, number of sunspots, was developed for the area of Western Siberia. It was found that the risk to locust hazard in the Southern Siberian region should be considered high when the locust index is higher than, or equal to 0.51. However, no correlation was found between that index and the locust outbreak in the southern part of European Russia, which led to the investigation, based on GRACE satellite effective water layer thickness in the Lower Volga region. It was concluded that the complex index of locust hazard has to be localized regionally.
Keywords: Italian locust, multi-temporal satellite data, locust mass breeding, locust hazard index, Western Siberia, European Russia.
Full text


  1. Locust bulletin No.14, 16 May 2012, FAO - Plant Production and Protection Division (AGPM), 6 pp.
  2. Locust bulletin No. 17, 14 August 2012, FAO - Plant Production and Protection Division (AGPM), 6 pp.
  3. Gornyy V.I., Kritsuk S.G., Latypov I.Sh., Teplyakova T.E., and Tronin A.A., Izmeritel'naja tehnologija sputnikovogo monitoringa saranchovyh (Measuring technology of satellite locust monitoring), Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, Vol. 6 (1), pp. 469-476 (2008), available at (
  4. Gornyy V.I., Kritsuk S.G., Latypov I.Sh., Teplyakova T.E., and Tronin A.A., Measuring Approach of Satellite Locust Monitoring, Journal of Earth Science and Engineering, Vol. 1 (2), pp. 126-131, (2011).
  5. Latchininsky A.V., Sergeev, M.G., Childebaev, M.K., Chernyakhovsky M.E., Lockwood J.A., Kambulin V.E., Gapparov F.A., 2002, Saranchovye Kazahstana, Srednej Azii i sopredel'nyh territorij (Locusts of Kazakhstan, Central Asia and adjacent territories), Larami: Association for Applied Akridology International, University of Wyoming, 387 p.
  6. Latchininsky A.V., Sivanpillai R., Driese K.L. and Wilps H., Can early season Landsat images improve locust habitat monitoring in the Amudarya River Delta of Uzbekistan? Journal of Orthoptera Research, Vol. 16(2), pp. 167-173 (2007).
  7. Latchininski A.V., Locust and remote sensing: a review, Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, Vol. 7, 2013, pp.1-32.
  8. Monthly Summaries: 2012 Locust Campaign in CCA (March to October), 3 p.
  9. Otchet: Sostojanie zemel' v Novosibirskoj oblasti v 2012 g. (Report: State of lands in Novosibirsk Oblast' in 2012. Novosibirsk, 2013, 124 p., available at
  10. Sivanpillai R., Latchininsky A.V., Driese K.L., Kambulin V.E., Mapping locust habitats in River Ili Delta, Kazakhstan, using Landsat imagery, Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment, Vol. 117(2-3), pp. 128-134, (2006).
  11. Sivanpillai R., Latchininsky A.V., Mapping locust habitats in Amudarya River Delta, Uzbekistan with multi-temporal MODIS imagery, Environmental Management , Vol. 39(6), pp. 876-886, (2007).
  12. Stolyarov M.V., Strategija i taktika bor'by s saranchovymi (Strategy and tactics of struggle against locust), Zacshita i karantin rastenii , Vol. 70, pp. 17-18, (2000).
  13. Tapley B.D., Bettadpur S., Watkins M., Reigber C., “The gravity recovery and climate experiment: Mission overview and early results,” Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 31 (9), pp. 1-4, (2004).
  14. Uvarov B. P., Insects and climate, Transactions entomological society, London, 79, part 1, 247 p., (1931).