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ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa
CURRENT PROBLEMS IN REMOTE SENSING OF THE EARTH FROM SPACE

  

Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2014, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 137-150

Forecasting of locust mass breeding by using satellite data

A.A. Tronin  , V.I. Gornyy  , A.V. Kiselev  , S.G. Kritsuk  , I.Sh. Latypov 
Saint Petersburg Scientific-Research Centre for Ecological Safety RAS, Saint Petersburg, Russia
The recent locust outbreaks in Russia raised considerable interest in applying remote sensing methods to locust control and forecast. The life cycle of the locust depends on such environmental conditions as temperature, soil moisture, air humidity, plant biomass, and soil type. Few remote sensing methods are able to retrieve these parameters; in our investigations, we used NOAA (AVHRR) and EOS (MODIS) satellite data. A complex index of locust hazard based on other indexes, such as NDVI, aridity, number of sunspots, was developed for the area of Western Siberia. It was found that the risk to locust hazard in the Southern Siberian region should be considered high when the locust index is higher than, or equal to 0.51. However, no correlation was found between that index and the locust outbreak in the southern part of European Russia, which led to the investigation, based on GRACE satellite effective water layer thickness in the Lower Volga region. It was concluded that the complex index of locust hazard has to be localized regionally.
Keywords: Italian locust, multi-temporal satellite data, locust mass breeding, locust hazard index, Western Siberia, European Russia.
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