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ISSN 2070-7401 (Print), ISSN 2411-0280 (Online)
Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa
CURRENT PROBLEMS IN REMOTE SENSING OF THE EARTH FROM SPACE

  

Sovremennye problemy distantsionnogo zondirovaniya Zemli iz kosmosa, 2012, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 304-311

On inter-decadal climate oscillations in the North-Atlantic region

M.V. Anisimov 1, V.I. Byshev 1, V.B. Zalesny 2, S.N. Moshonkin 3, V.G. Neiman 1, Ju.A. Romanov 1, I.V. Serykh 1
1 P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS, 117997 Moscow, 36 Nakhimovsky pr
2 P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology RAS Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS, 117997 Moscow, 36 Nakhimovsky pr 119333 Moskow, 8 Gubkina str
3 Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS, 119333 Moskow, 8 Gubkina str
A diagnosis of the modern climate inter-decadal variability was conducted by means of statistical analysis of a secular term of the Global hydrometeorological data sets. A multitude of the North-Atlantic climate phase states have been found to divide onto three sub-sets with their own particular thermo-dynamic characteristics which allowed considering each of the subset as a feature of the certain climatic scenario. It was shown that during the last century the North-Atlantic region experienced the impact of three such successive scenarios referred to the next periods: 1905 -1935 (relatively warm phase), 1940-1970(cooler phase), 1980-2000 (warmer phase). Our present results combined with some other independent views gives an argument on that in the first decade of current century the North-Atlantic climatic system began its transition to a new scenario(relatively cool!) which, to all appearances, will continue up to 2030-2035. By means of numerical modeling of the North-Atlantic Ocean thermo-haline structure evolution it was revealed the inter-decadal variation of upper active ocean layer heat content which took place in second half of the XX-th century. This result is obviously in the good correlation with the detected climate scenarional variability in the Northern Hemisphere. It was found that a milder "marine" climate on the continent corresponds timely to a period of the ocean heat content shortening and vice versa - a phase of more "continental" climate is accompanied by the rise of ocean upper layer heat content.
Keywords: ocean, atmosphere, interaction, climate, variability, North Atlantic, active layer, atmospheric pressure, temperature, heat content
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